Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten
Model pick: Floridsdorfer AC (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Floridsdorfer AC | Amstetten |
|---|
| League position | #12 (3 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Floridsdorfer AC shown at home, Amstetten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Floridsdorfer AC — last 5
WLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Amstetten — last 5
DWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Floridsdorfer AC (home) | Amstetten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 61% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Floridsdorfer AC or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Amstetten or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Floridsdorfer AC clean sheet | 39% |
| Amstetten clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Floridsdorfer AC is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Floridsdorfer AC are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten — FAQ
Who will win Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten?
Our statistical model makes Floridsdorfer AC the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Floridsdorfer AC 40%, draw 27%, Amstetten 32%.
Will both teams score in Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Floridsdorfer AC and 0.95 for Amstetten — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Floridsdorfer AC vs Amstetten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Floridsdorfer AC or draw is 74%.