Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten
Model pick: St. Pölten (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.13 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Floridsdorfer AC | St. Pölten |
|---|
| League position | #2 (0 pts) | #3 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Floridsdorfer AC shown at home, St. Pölten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Floridsdorfer AC — last 5
WDWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
St. Pölten — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Floridsdorfer AC (home) | St. Pölten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 56% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.13 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Floridsdorfer AC or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — St. Pölten or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Floridsdorfer AC clean sheet | 36% |
| St. Pölten clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
St. Pölten is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, St. Pölten edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten — FAQ
Who will win Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten?
Our statistical model makes St. Pölten the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Floridsdorfer AC 34%, draw 30%, St. Pölten 36%.
Will both teams score in Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten?
Expected goals are 1.13 for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.01 for St. Pölten — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Floridsdorfer AC vs St. Pölten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Floridsdorfer AC or draw is 68%.