Floya vs Ulfstind Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 06, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Floya vs Ulfstind
Model pick: Ulfstind (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.25 – 1.28
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Floya | Ulfstind |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.5 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Floya shown at home, Ulfstind shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Floya — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ulfstind — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Floya (home) | Ulfstind (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.25 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Floya or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Ulfstind or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Floya clean sheet | 28% |
| Ulfstind clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ulfstind is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Ulfstind edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Floya vs Ulfstind — FAQ
Who will win Floya vs Ulfstind?
Our statistical model makes Ulfstind the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Floya 36%, draw 28%, Ulfstind 37%.
Will both teams score in Floya vs Ulfstind?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Floya vs Ulfstind?
Expected goals are 1.25 for Floya and 1.28 for Ulfstind — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Floya vs Ulfstind?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Floya or draw is 63%.