Folkestone vs Horsham FC Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Folkestone vs Horsham FC
Model pick: Folkestone (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.49 – 0.47
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Folkestone | Horsham FC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Folkestone shown at home, Horsham FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Folkestone — last 5
WDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 57% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsham FC — last 5
DDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Folkestone (home) | Horsham FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 57% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 40% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.49 vs 0.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Folkestone or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Folkestone clean sheet | 63% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Folkestone is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Folkestone are backed at home, where they average 2.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Folkestone vs Horsham FC — FAQ
Who will win Folkestone vs Horsham FC?
Our statistical model makes Folkestone the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Folkestone 58%, draw 28%, Horsham FC 14%.
Will both teams score in Folkestone vs Horsham FC?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Folkestone vs Horsham FC?
Expected goals are 1.49 for Folkestone and 0.47 for Horsham FC — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Folkestone vs Horsham FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for Folkestone or draw is 88%.