Forde vs Stord Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Forde vs Stord
Model pick: Forde (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.78 – 1.36
Total goals: 8.1
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Forde | Stord |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 1.4 | 1.25 / 3.75 |
*Forde shown at home, Stord shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Forde — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Stord — last 5
LDLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Forde (home) | Stord (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.78 vs 1.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Forde or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Stord or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Forde clean sheet | 26% |
| Stord clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Forde is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Forde are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.1, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Forde vs Stord — FAQ
Who will win Forde vs Stord?
Our statistical model makes Forde the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Forde 94%, draw 4%, Stord 2%.
Will both teams score in Forde vs Stord?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Forde vs Stord?
Expected goals are 6.78 for Forde and 1.36 for Stord — about 8.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Forde vs Stord?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-1 (7%). Double chance for Forde or draw is 98%.