Formartine Utd vs Keith Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Formartine Utd vs Keith
Model pick: Formartine Utd (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.16 – 1.54
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Formartine Utd | Keith |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Formartine Utd shown at home, Keith shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Formartine Utd — last 5
LLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Keith — last 5
LDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Formartine Utd (home) | Keith (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.16 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Formartine Utd or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Keith or draw (X2) | 31% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Formartine Utd clean sheet | 21% |
| Keith clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Formartine Utd is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Formartine Utd are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Formartine Utd vs Keith — FAQ
Who will win Formartine Utd vs Keith?
Our statistical model makes Formartine Utd the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Formartine Utd 64%, draw 17%, Keith 18%.
Will both teams score in Formartine Utd vs Keith?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Formartine Utd vs Keith?
Expected goals are 3.16 for Formartine Utd and 1.54 for Keith — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Formartine Utd vs Keith?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Formartine Utd or draw is 84%.