Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II
Model pick: Hoffenheim II (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.92
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hoffenheim II |
|---|
| League position | #17 (37 pts) | #13 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Fortuna Dusseldorf shown at home, Hoffenheim II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Hoffenheim II — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 9% of the time; 78% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fortuna Dusseldorf (home) | Hoffenheim II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 78% |
| Top scorer | – | Deniz Zeitler (11) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.48 vs 1.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Fortuna Dusseldorf or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Hoffenheim II or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf clean sheet | 15% |
| Hoffenheim II clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hoffenheim II is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Hoffenheim II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II — FAQ
Who will win Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II?
Our statistical model makes Hoffenheim II the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Fortuna Dusseldorf 30%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 46%.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II?
Expected goals are 1.48 for Fortuna Dusseldorf and 1.92 for Hoffenheim II — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Fortuna Dusseldorf or draw is 52%.