Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Model pick: Fortuna Koln (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.02 – 0.37
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fortuna Koln | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|
| League position | #11 (4 pts) | #17 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 2.4 |
*Fortuna Koln shown at home, Fortuna Dusseldorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fortuna Koln — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Fortuna Dusseldorf — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fortuna Koln (home) | Fortuna Dusseldorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.02 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Fortuna Koln or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Fortuna Dusseldorf or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Fortuna Koln clean sheet | 69% |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fortuna Koln is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Fortuna Koln are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf — FAQ
Who will win Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?
Our statistical model makes Fortuna Koln the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Fortuna Koln 49%, draw 35%, Fortuna Dusseldorf 16%.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?
Expected goals are 1.02 for Fortuna Koln and 0.37 for Fortuna Dusseldorf — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fortuna Koln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (25%). Double chance for Fortuna Koln or draw is 87%.