Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof
Model pick: Fortuna Regensburg (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.42 – 3.41
Total goals: 9.8
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 76%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fortuna Regensburg | Bayern Hof |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Fortuna Regensburg shown at home, Bayern Hof shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fortuna Regensburg — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Bayern Hof — last 5
WWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fortuna Regensburg (home) | Bayern Hof (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.42 vs 3.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-3 (4%) |
| Double chance — Fortuna Regensburg or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Bayern Hof or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Fortuna Regensburg clean sheet | 3% |
| Bayern Hof clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fortuna Regensburg is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Fortuna Regensburg are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 9.8, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof — FAQ
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof?
Our statistical model makes Fortuna Regensburg the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Fortuna Regensburg 72%, draw 11%, Bayern Hof 16%.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof?
The model gives a 76% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof?
Expected goals are 6.42 for Fortuna Regensburg and 3.41 for Bayern Hof — about 9.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-3 (4%). Double chance for Fortuna Regensburg or draw is 85%.