Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur Prediction & Preview
Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EREDIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur
Model pick: Fortuna Sittard (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.97 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fortuna Sittard | Cambuur |
|---|
| League position | #9 (1 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Fortuna Sittard shown at home, Cambuur shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fortuna Sittard — last 5
WLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Cambuur — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fortuna Sittard (home) | Cambuur (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 57% |
Eredivisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.09
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Eredivisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.97 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Fortuna Sittard or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Cambuur or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 38% |
| Cambuur clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fortuna Sittard is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Fortuna Sittard are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur — FAQ
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
Our statistical model makes Fortuna Sittard the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Fortuna Sittard 56%, draw 23%, Cambuur 20%.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
Expected goals are 1.97 for Fortuna Sittard and 0.97 for Cambuur — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (10%). Double chance for Fortuna Sittard or draw is 82%.