Fram vs KR Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) ยท Aug 10, 2026 ยท kickoff 19:15 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
Fram vs KR
Model pick: Fram (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.05 โ 1.71
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 73%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fram | KR |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 1.4 |
*Fram shown at home, KR shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Fram โ last 5
DWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
KR โ last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fram (home) | KR (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 56% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.21
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.05 vs 1.71):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance โ Fram or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance โ KR or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Fram clean sheet | 18% |
| KR clean sheet | 13% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Fram is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Fram are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Fram vs KR โ FAQ
Who will win Fram vs KR?
Our statistical model makes Fram the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Fram 41%, draw 22%, KR 37%.
Will both teams score in Fram vs KR?
The model gives a 73% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fram vs KR?
Expected goals are 2.05 for Fram and 1.71 for KR โ about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fram vs KR?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Fram or draw is 67%.