Francs Borains vs Hasselt Prediction & Preview
Second Division (Belgium) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 17:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SECOND DIVISION (BELGIUM)
Francs Borains vs Hasselt
Model pick: Hasselt (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.08 – 1.17
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Francs Borains | Hasselt |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 0.4 |
*Francs Borains shown at home, Hasselt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Francs Borains — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Hasselt — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Francs Borains (home) | Hasselt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 67% |
Second Division (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Second Division (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.08 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (34%) |
| Double chance — Francs Borains or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Hasselt or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Francs Borains clean sheet | 31% |
| Hasselt clean sheet | 92% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hasselt is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Despite playing away, Hasselt edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Francs Borains vs Hasselt — FAQ
Who will win Francs Borains vs Hasselt?
Our statistical model makes Hasselt the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Francs Borains 4%, draw 33%, Hasselt 63%.
Will both teams score in Francs Borains vs Hasselt?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Francs Borains vs Hasselt?
Expected goals are 0.08 for Francs Borains and 1.17 for Hasselt — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Francs Borains vs Hasselt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (34%). Double chance for Francs Borains or draw is 34%.