Fraserburgh vs Nairn County Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
Model pick: Fraserburgh (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.91 – 0.02
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 11%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fraserburgh | Nairn County |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Fraserburgh shown at home, Nairn County shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fraserburgh — last 5
DWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Nairn County — last 5
DLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fraserburgh (home) | Nairn County (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.91 vs 0.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (39%) |
| Double chance — Fraserburgh or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Nairn County or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Fraserburgh clean sheet | 98% |
| Nairn County clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fraserburgh is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Fraserburgh are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Fraserburgh vs Nairn County — FAQ
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Nairn County?
Our statistical model makes Fraserburgh the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Fraserburgh 58%, draw 41%, Nairn County 1%.
Will both teams score in Fraserburgh vs Nairn County?
The model gives a 11% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fraserburgh vs Nairn County?
Expected goals are 0.91 for Fraserburgh and 0.02 for Nairn County — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fraserburgh vs Nairn County?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (39%). Double chance for Fraserburgh or draw is 99%.