Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger
Model pick: Freiburg II (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.83 – 0.26
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Freiburg II | Steinbach Haiger |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Freiburg II shown at home, Steinbach Haiger shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Freiburg II — last 5
WDWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Steinbach Haiger — last 5
WDDDW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Freiburg II (home) | Steinbach Haiger (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 60% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.83 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (34%) |
| Double chance — Freiburg II or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Steinbach Haiger or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Freiburg II clean sheet | 77% |
| Steinbach Haiger clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Freiburg II is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Freiburg II are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger — FAQ
Who will win Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger?
Our statistical model makes Freiburg II the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Freiburg II 46%, draw 41%, Steinbach Haiger 13%.
Will both teams score in Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger?
Expected goals are 0.83 for Freiburg II and 0.26 for Steinbach Haiger — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Freiburg II vs Steinbach Haiger?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (34%). Double chance for Freiburg II or draw is 89%.