Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim
Model pick: VfR Mannheim (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.34
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Freiburg II | VfR Mannheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.0 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Freiburg II shown at home, VfR Mannheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Freiburg II — last 5
DWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
VfR Mannheim — last 5
LLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Freiburg II (home) | VfR Mannheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Freiburg II or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — VfR Mannheim or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Freiburg II clean sheet | 26% |
| VfR Mannheim clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
VfR Mannheim is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, VfR Mannheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim — FAQ
Who will win Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
Our statistical model makes VfR Mannheim the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Freiburg II 36%, draw 27%, VfR Mannheim 37%.
Will both teams score in Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Freiburg II and 1.34 for VfR Mannheim — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Freiburg II or draw is 62%.