Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt
Model pick: Draw (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.39 – 0.2
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 11%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Freital | 1.FC Frankfurt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 2.5 |
*Freital shown at home, 1.FC Frankfurt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Freital — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
1.FC Frankfurt — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Freital (home) | 1.FC Frankfurt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.39 vs 0.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (55%) |
| Double chance — Freital or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — 1.FC Frankfurt or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 40% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Freital clean sheet | 82% |
| 1.FC Frankfurt clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (89% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt — FAQ
Who will win Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Freital 29%, draw 56%, 1.FC Frankfurt 15%.
Will both teams score in Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt?
Expected goals are 0.39 for Freital and 0.2 for 1.FC Frankfurt — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Freital vs 1.FC Frankfurt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (55%). Double chance for Freital or draw is 87%.