Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21 Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21
Model pick: Darmstadt U21 (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.84 – 2.0
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Friedberg | Darmstadt U21 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Friedberg shown at home, Darmstadt U21 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Friedberg — last 5
WDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Darmstadt U21 — last 5
DWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Friedberg (home) | Darmstadt U21 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.84 vs 2.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Friedberg or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Darmstadt U21 or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Friedberg clean sheet | 14% |
| Darmstadt U21 clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Darmstadt U21 is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Darmstadt U21 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21 — FAQ
Who will win Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21?
Our statistical model makes Darmstadt U21 the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Friedberg 17%, draw 23%, Darmstadt U21 60%.
Will both teams score in Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21?
Expected goals are 0.84 for Friedberg and 2.0 for Darmstadt U21 — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Friedberg vs Darmstadt U21?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Friedberg or draw is 36%.