Friedberg vs Hadamar Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) ยท Aug 23, 2026 ยท kickoff 14:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Friedberg vs Hadamar
Model pick: Hadamar (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.32 โ 1.61
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Friedberg | Hadamar |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 |
*Friedberg shown at home, Hadamar shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Friedberg โ last 5
WWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Hadamar โ last 5
WDDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Friedberg (home) | Hadamar (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.32 vs 1.61):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance โ Friedberg or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance โ Hadamar or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Friedberg clean sheet | 20% |
| Hadamar clean sheet | 27% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Hadamar is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Hadamar edge the model โ their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Friedberg vs Hadamar โ FAQ
Who will win Friedberg vs Hadamar?
Our statistical model makes Hadamar the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Friedberg 32%, draw 26%, Hadamar 43%.
Will both teams score in Friedberg vs Hadamar?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Friedberg vs Hadamar?
Expected goals are 1.32 for Friedberg and 1.61 for Hadamar โ about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Friedberg vs Hadamar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Friedberg or draw is 56%.