Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici
Model pick: Valasske Mezirici (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 1.1
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Frydek-Mistek B | Valasske Mezirici |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Frydek-Mistek B shown at home, Valasske Mezirici shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Frydek-Mistek B — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Valasske Mezirici — last 5
LLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Frydek-Mistek B (home) | Valasske Mezirici (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Frydek-Mistek B or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Valasske Mezirici or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Frydek-Mistek B clean sheet | 33% |
| Valasske Mezirici clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Valasske Mezirici is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Valasske Mezirici edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici — FAQ
Who will win Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici?
Our statistical model makes Valasske Mezirici the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Frydek-Mistek B 27%, draw 32%, Valasske Mezirici 41%.
Will both teams score in Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici?
Expected goals are 0.77 for Frydek-Mistek B and 1.1 for Valasske Mezirici — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Frydek-Mistek B vs Valasske Mezirici?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Frydek-Mistek B or draw is 57%.