Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk
Model pick: Sumperk (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.67
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Frydlant n. O. | Sumperk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.6 | 1.33 / 1.33 |
*Frydlant n. O. shown at home, Sumperk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Frydlant n. O. — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Sumperk — last 5
LWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Frydlant n. O. (home) | Sumperk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.39
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 1.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Frydlant n. O. or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Sumperk or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Frydlant n. O. clean sheet | 19% |
| Sumperk clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sumperk is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Despite playing away, Sumperk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk — FAQ
Who will win Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk?
Our statistical model makes Sumperk the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Frydlant n. O. 24%, draw 26%, Sumperk 50%.
Will both teams score in Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk?
Expected goals are 1.0 for Frydlant n. O. and 1.67 for Sumperk — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Frydlant n. O. vs Sumperk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Frydlant n. O. or draw is 47%.