Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure Prediction & Preview
J2-League (Japan) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
J2-LEAGUE (JAPAN)
Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure
Model pick: Fujieda MYFC (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 0.73
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fujieda MYFC | Vanraure |
|---|
| League position | #5 (30 pts) | #9 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 44% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Fujieda MYFC shown at home, Vanraure shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fujieda MYFC — last 5
WWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Vanraure — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fujieda MYFC (home) | Vanraure (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-7 in 9 (0.9 / 1.6 goals per game) | 4-0-5 in 9 (1.2 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 33% |
J2-League (Japan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 50%
Use these J2-League (Japan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 0.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Vanraure or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Fujieda MYFC clean sheet | 48% |
| Vanraure clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fujieda MYFC is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Fujieda MYFC are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure — FAQ
Who will win Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure?
Our statistical model makes Fujieda MYFC the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Fujieda MYFC 55%, draw 26%, Vanraure 19%.
Will both teams score in Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Fujieda MYFC and 0.73 for Vanraure — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for Fujieda MYFC or draw is 83%.