Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai Prediction & Preview
J2-League (Japan) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
J2-LEAGUE (JAPAN)
Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai
Model pick: Vegalta Sendai (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.43
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fujieda MYFC | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|
| League position | #5 (30 pts) | #1 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 0.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Fujieda MYFC shown at home, Vegalta Sendai shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fujieda MYFC — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Vegalta Sendai — last 5
LWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fujieda MYFC (home) | Vegalta Sendai (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-7 in 9 (0.9 / 1.6 goals per game) | 9-0-0 in 9 (2.1 / 0.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 48% |
J2-League (Japan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.48
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 50%
Use these J2-League (Japan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Vegalta Sendai or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Fujieda MYFC clean sheet | 24% |
| Vegalta Sendai clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vegalta Sendai is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Vegalta Sendai edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai — FAQ
Who will win Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our statistical model makes Vegalta Sendai the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Fujieda MYFC 30%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 42%.
Will both teams score in Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Fujieda MYFC and 1.43 for Vegalta Sendai — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Fujieda MYFC or draw is 56%.