Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava
Model pick: Fundacion Amigos (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.7 – 0.32
Total goals: 6.0
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fundacion Amigos | Costa Brava |
|---|
| League position | #5 (20 pts) | #6 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 0.33 | 0.67 / 1.67 |
*Fundacion Amigos shown at home, Costa Brava shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fundacion Amigos — last 5
WDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Costa Brava — last 5
LLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fundacion Amigos (home) | Costa Brava (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-1 in 8 (1.5 / 0.9 goals per game) | 0-5-3 in 8 (0.2 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.04
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 18%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.7 vs 0.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Fundacion Amigos or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Costa Brava or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Fundacion Amigos clean sheet | 73% |
| Costa Brava clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fundacion Amigos is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Fundacion Amigos are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.0, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava — FAQ
Who will win Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava?
Our statistical model makes Fundacion Amigos the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Fundacion Amigos 98%, draw 2%, Costa Brava 0%.
Will both teams score in Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava?
Expected goals are 5.7 for Fundacion Amigos and 0.32 for Costa Brava — about 6.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fundacion Amigos vs Costa Brava?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (14%). Double chance for Fundacion Amigos or draw is 100%.