Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) ยท Aug 23, 2026 ยท kickoff 20:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo
Model pick: Fundacion Amigos (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.96 โ 0.67
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 48%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fundacion Amigos | Sol de Mayo |
| League position | #5 (20 pts) | #6 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Fundacion Amigos shown at home, Sol de Mayo shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Fundacion Amigos โ last 5
DWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Sol de Mayo โ last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fundacion Amigos (home) | Sol de Mayo (away) |
| This season record | 3-4-1 in 8 (1.5 / 0.9 goals per game) | 2-1-5 in 8 (0.6 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Argentino A (Argentina) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.0
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 38%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.96 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance โ Fundacion Amigos or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance โ Sol de Mayo or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Fundacion Amigos clean sheet | 51% |
| Sol de Mayo clean sheet | 14% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Fundacion Amigos is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Fundacion Amigos are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo โ FAQ
Who will win Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo?
Our statistical model makes Fundacion Amigos the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Fundacion Amigos 63%, draw 23%, Sol de Mayo 14%.
Will both teams score in Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo?
Expected goals are 1.96 for Fundacion Amigos and 0.67 for Sol de Mayo โ about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fundacion Amigos vs Sol de Mayo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Fundacion Amigos or draw is 88%.