Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK
Model pick: Draw (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.48 – 0.46
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fuzesabony | Mateszalkai MTK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Fuzesabony shown at home, Mateszalkai MTK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fuzesabony — last 5
LWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Mateszalkai MTK — last 5
DWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fuzesabony (home) | Mateszalkai MTK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.48 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (39%) |
| Double chance — Fuzesabony or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Mateszalkai MTK or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 52% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Fuzesabony clean sheet | 63% |
| Mateszalkai MTK clean sheet | 62% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK — FAQ
Who will win Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Fuzesabony 28%, draw 46%, Mateszalkai MTK 26%.
Will both teams score in Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK?
Expected goals are 0.48 for Fuzesabony and 0.46 for Mateszalkai MTK — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fuzesabony vs Mateszalkai MTK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (39%). Double chance for Fuzesabony or draw is 75%.