Fylde vs Worthing Prediction & Preview
Conference (England) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CONFERENCE (ENGLAND)
Fylde vs Worthing
Model pick: Fylde (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.16 – 2.02
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fylde | Worthing |
|---|
| League position | #6 (10 pts) | #14 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Fylde shown at home, Worthing shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fylde — last 5
DWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Worthing — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 64% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fylde (home) | Worthing (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 64% |
Conference (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Conference (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.16 vs 2.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Fylde or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Worthing or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Fylde clean sheet | 13% |
| Worthing clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fylde is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Fylde are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fylde vs Worthing — FAQ
Who will win Fylde vs Worthing?
Our statistical model makes Fylde the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Fylde 41%, draw 22%, Worthing 37%.
Will both teams score in Fylde vs Worthing?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fylde vs Worthing?
Expected goals are 2.16 for Fylde and 2.02 for Worthing — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fylde vs Worthing?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Fylde or draw is 63%.