Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg
Model pick: Fyllingsdalen (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.82 – 0.45
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fyllingsdalen | Varegg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.5 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
*Fyllingsdalen shown at home, Varegg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fyllingsdalen — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Varegg — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fyllingsdalen (home) | Varegg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.82 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Fyllingsdalen or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Varegg or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 61% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Fyllingsdalen clean sheet | 64% |
| Varegg clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fyllingsdalen is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Fyllingsdalen are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg — FAQ
Who will win Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg?
Our statistical model makes Fyllingsdalen the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Fyllingsdalen 41%, draw 39%, Varegg 21%.
Will both teams score in Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg?
Expected goals are 0.82 for Fyllingsdalen and 0.45 for Varegg — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for Fyllingsdalen or draw is 81%.