Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath
Model pick: Gala Fairydean (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.96 – 0.89
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gala Fairydean | Hill Of Beath |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.6 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
*Gala Fairydean shown at home, Hill Of Beath shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gala Fairydean — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Hill Of Beath — last 5
LLWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gala Fairydean (home) | Hill Of Beath (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.96 vs 0.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Gala Fairydean or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Hill Of Beath or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Gala Fairydean clean sheet | 41% |
| Hill Of Beath clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gala Fairydean is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Gala Fairydean are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath — FAQ
Who will win Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath?
Our statistical model makes Gala Fairydean the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Gala Fairydean 35%, draw 32%, Hill Of Beath 32%.
Will both teams score in Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath?
Expected goals are 0.96 for Gala Fairydean and 0.89 for Hill Of Beath — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gala Fairydean vs Hill Of Beath?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (16%). Double chance for Gala Fairydean or draw is 68%.