Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995 Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995
Model pick: Gangwon (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.34
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gangwon | Bucheon 1995 |
|---|
| League position | #2 (32 pts) | #10 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Gangwon shown at home, Bucheon 1995 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gangwon — last 5
DLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Bucheon 1995 — last 5
DDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gangwon (home) | Bucheon 1995 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-4-1 in 9 (1.6 / 0.7 goals per game) | 3-3-3 in 9 (0.9 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Jae-Hyeon Mo (2) | – |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Gangwon or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Bucheon 1995 or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Gangwon clean sheet | 26% |
| Bucheon 1995 clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gangwon is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Gangwon are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995 — FAQ
Who will win Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995?
Our statistical model makes Gangwon the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Gangwon 54%, draw 25%, Bucheon 1995 20%.
Will both teams score in Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Gangwon and 1.34 for Bucheon 1995 — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Gangwon or draw is 71%.