Gebenbach vs Neumarkt Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Gebenbach vs Neumarkt
Model pick: Gebenbach (81%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.49 – 0.29
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gebenbach | Neumarkt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Gebenbach shown at home, Neumarkt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gebenbach — last 5
WWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Neumarkt — last 5
LLDDL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gebenbach (home) | Neumarkt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 25% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.49 vs 0.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Gebenbach or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Neumarkt or draw (X2) | 14% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Gebenbach clean sheet | 75% |
| Neumarkt clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gebenbach is the model's most likely outcome at
81%. Gebenbach are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gebenbach vs Neumarkt — FAQ
Who will win Gebenbach vs Neumarkt?
Our statistical model makes Gebenbach the most likely result at 81%. Full probabilities: Gebenbach 81%, draw 15%, Neumarkt 4%.
Will both teams score in Gebenbach vs Neumarkt?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gebenbach vs Neumarkt?
Expected goals are 2.49 for Gebenbach and 0.29 for Neumarkt — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gebenbach vs Neumarkt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (19%). Double chance for Gebenbach or draw is 97%.