Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie
Model pick: Wda Swiecie (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.73 – 4.97
Total goals: 8.7
Over 2.5: 90%
Both teams score: 82%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gedania Gdansk | Wda Swiecie |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Gedania Gdansk shown at home, Wda Swiecie shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gedania Gdansk — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Wda Swiecie — last 5
WDDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gedania Gdansk (home) | Wda Swiecie (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.73 vs 4.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-4 (4%) |
| Double chance — Gedania Gdansk or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Wda Swiecie or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Gedania Gdansk clean sheet | 1% |
| Wda Swiecie clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wda Swiecie is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Wda Swiecie edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.7, this shapes as an open game (90% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie — FAQ
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie?
Our statistical model makes Wda Swiecie the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Gedania Gdansk 29%, draw 15%, Wda Swiecie 56%.
Will both teams score in Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie?
The model gives a 82% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie?
Expected goals are 3.73 for Gedania Gdansk and 4.97 for Wda Swiecie — about 8.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gedania Gdansk vs Wda Swiecie?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-4 (4%). Double chance for Gedania Gdansk or draw is 42%.