Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
Model pick: Geestemunde (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.43 – 3.69
Total goals: 8.1
Over 2.5: 90%
Both teams score: 82%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Geestemunde | Werder Bremen III |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 4.33 | 1.67 / 4.67 |
*Geestemunde shown at home, Werder Bremen III shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Geestemunde — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Werder Bremen III — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Geestemunde (home) | Werder Bremen III (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.43 vs 3.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-3 (4%) |
| Double chance — Geestemunde or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen III or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Geestemunde clean sheet | 3% |
| Werder Bremen III clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Geestemunde is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Geestemunde are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.1, this shapes as an open game (90% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III — FAQ
Who will win Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
Our statistical model makes Geestemunde the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Geestemunde 50%, draw 16%, Werder Bremen III 34%.
Will both teams score in Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
The model gives a 82% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
Expected goals are 4.43 for Geestemunde and 3.69 for Werder Bremen III — about 8.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-3 (4%). Double chance for Geestemunde or draw is 67%.