Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
Model pick: Geestemunde (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.89 – 2.45
Total goals: 5.3
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Geestemunde | Werder Bremen III |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 5.0 | 1.33 / 2.33 |
*Geestemunde shown at home, Werder Bremen III shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Geestemunde — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Werder Bremen III — last 5
LLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Geestemunde (home) | Werder Bremen III (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.89 vs 2.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Geestemunde or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen III or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Geestemunde clean sheet | 9% |
| Werder Bremen III clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Geestemunde is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Geestemunde are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.3, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III — FAQ
Who will win Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
Our statistical model makes Geestemunde the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Geestemunde 46%, draw 19%, Werder Bremen III 34%.
Will both teams score in Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
Expected goals are 2.89 for Geestemunde and 2.45 for Werder Bremen III — about 5.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for Geestemunde or draw is 66%.