Geretsried vs Landshut Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Geretsried vs Landshut
Model pick: Landshut (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 2.88
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Geretsried | Landshut |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
*Geretsried shown at home, Landshut shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Geretsried — last 5
WDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Landshut — last 5
DWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Geretsried (home) | Landshut (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 2.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Geretsried or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — Landshut or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Geretsried clean sheet | 6% |
| Landshut clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Landshut is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Despite playing away, Landshut edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Geretsried vs Landshut — FAQ
Who will win Geretsried vs Landshut?
Our statistical model makes Landshut the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Geretsried 16%, draw 18%, Landshut 67%.
Will both teams score in Geretsried vs Landshut?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Geretsried vs Landshut?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Geretsried and 2.88 for Landshut — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Geretsried vs Landshut?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Geretsried or draw is 28%.