Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis
Model pick: Germania Ratingen (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.18 – 0.93
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Germania Ratingen | SC St.Tonis |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 5.5 |
*Germania Ratingen shown at home, SC St.Tonis shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Germania Ratingen — last 5
WDDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
SC St.Tonis — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Germania Ratingen (home) | SC St.Tonis (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.18 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Germania Ratingen or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — SC St.Tonis or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Germania Ratingen clean sheet | 39% |
| SC St.Tonis clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Germania Ratingen is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Germania Ratingen are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis — FAQ
Who will win Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis?
Our statistical model makes Germania Ratingen the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Germania Ratingen 61%, draw 22%, SC St.Tonis 17%.
Will both teams score in Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis?
Expected goals are 2.18 for Germania Ratingen and 0.93 for SC St.Tonis — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Germania Ratingen vs SC St.Tonis?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Germania Ratingen or draw is 85%.