Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Egypt) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (EGYPT)
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids
Model pick: Pyramids (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.63 – 1.74
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ghazl El Mehalla | Pyramids |
|---|
| League position | #16 (19 pts) | #2 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 10% | 60% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Ghazl El Mehalla shown at home, Pyramids shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ghazl El Mehalla — last 5
LLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Pyramids — last 5
WWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ghazl El Mehalla (home) | Pyramids (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-8-1 in 10 (0.3 / 0.4 goals per game) | 6-3-1 in 10 (1.8 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 44% |
Premier League (Egypt) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.27
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Premier League (Egypt) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.63 vs 1.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Ghazl El Mehalla or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Pyramids or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Ghazl El Mehalla clean sheet | 18% |
| Pyramids clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pyramids is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Pyramids edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids — FAQ
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids?
Our statistical model makes Pyramids the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Ghazl El Mehalla 14%, draw 25%, Pyramids 60%.
Will both teams score in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids?
Expected goals are 0.63 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.74 for Pyramids — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Ghazl El Mehalla or draw is 36%.