GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg
Model pick: Helsingborg (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.31
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| GIF Sundsvall | Helsingborg |
|---|
| League position | #16 (9 pts) | #10 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*GIF Sundsvall shown at home, Helsingborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
GIF Sundsvall — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Helsingborg — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | GIF Sundsvall (home) | Helsingborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-7 in 9 (1.0 / 2.4 goals per game) | 3-1-4 in 8 (1.6 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Hugo Aviander (2) | Ervin Gigovic (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 1.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — GIF Sundsvall or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Helsingborg or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| GIF Sundsvall clean sheet | 27% |
| Helsingborg clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Helsingborg is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Helsingborg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg — FAQ
Who will win GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg?
Our statistical model makes Helsingborg the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 30%, draw 28%, Helsingborg 42%.
Will both teams score in GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg?
Expected goals are 1.14 for GIF Sundsvall and 1.31 for Helsingborg — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in GIF Sundsvall vs Helsingborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for GIF Sundsvall or draw is 60%.