GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) ยท Aug 31, 2026 ยท kickoff 17:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby
Model pick: GIF Sundsvall (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 โ 1.2
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| GIF Sundsvall | Norrby |
| League position | #16 (10 pts) | #11 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.3 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*GIF Sundsvall shown at home, Norrby shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
GIF Sundsvall โ last 5
LLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Norrby โ last 5
DDWLD
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | GIF Sundsvall (home) | Norrby (away) |
| This season record | 2-1-7 in 10 (1.0 / 2.3 goals per game) | 1-6-3 in 10 (0.9 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Hugo Aviander (2) | โ |
Superettan (Sweden) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance โ GIF Sundsvall or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance โ Norrby or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| GIF Sundsvall clean sheet | 30% |
| Norrby clean sheet | 30% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
GIF Sundsvall is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. GIF Sundsvall are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby โ FAQ
Who will win GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby?
Our statistical model makes GIF Sundsvall the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 36%, draw 28%, Norrby 36%.
Will both teams score in GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby?
Expected goals are 1.22 for GIF Sundsvall and 1.2 for Norrby โ about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for GIF Sundsvall or draw is 64%.