GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Sep 10, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro
Model pick: GIF Sundsvall (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.12
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| GIF Sundsvall | Örebro |
|---|
| League position | #16 (13 pts) | #15 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.1 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 9% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*GIF Sundsvall shown at home, Örebro shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
GIF Sundsvall — last 5
LDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Örebro — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | GIF Sundsvall (home) | Örebro (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-7 in 11 (1.0 / 2.1 goals per game) | 1-5-5 in 11 (1.1 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Top scorer | Hugo Aviander (2) | – |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — GIF Sundsvall or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Örebro or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| GIF Sundsvall clean sheet | 33% |
| Örebro clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
GIF Sundsvall is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. GIF Sundsvall are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro — FAQ
Who will win GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro?
Our statistical model makes GIF Sundsvall the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 42%, draw 28%, Örebro 31%.
Will both teams score in GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro?
Expected goals are 1.4 for GIF Sundsvall and 1.12 for Örebro — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for GIF Sundsvall or draw is 70%.