Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons
Model pick: Jeonnam Dragons (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.8 – 1.74
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gimhae City | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|
| League position | #17 (12 pts) | #15 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 2.4 | 1.1 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Gimhae City shown at home, Jeonnam Dragons shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gimhae City — last 5
DLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Jeonnam Dragons — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gimhae City (home) | Jeonnam Dragons (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-8 in 10 (0.7 / 2.4 goals per game) | 1-4-8 in 13 (1.1 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 49% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.8 vs 1.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Gimhae City or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Jeonnam Dragons or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Gimhae City clean sheet | 18% |
| Jeonnam Dragons clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jeonnam Dragons is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Jeonnam Dragons edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons — FAQ
Who will win Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our statistical model makes Jeonnam Dragons the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Gimhae City 19%, draw 25%, Jeonnam Dragons 56%.
Will both teams score in Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Expected goals are 0.8 for Gimhae City and 1.74 for Jeonnam Dragons — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gimhae City vs Jeonnam Dragons?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Gimhae City or draw is 40%.