Gimhae City vs Yongin City Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Gimhae City vs Yongin City
Model pick: Yongin City (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gimhae City | Yongin City |
|---|
| League position | #17 (12 pts) | #13 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Gimhae City shown at home, Yongin City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gimhae City — last 5
LDLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Yongin City — last 5
LDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gimhae City (home) | Yongin City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-7 in 9 (0.8 / 2.3 goals per game) | 2-5-3 in 10 (1.2 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 44% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Gimhae City or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Yongin City or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Gimhae City clean sheet | 30% |
| Yongin City clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yongin City is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Yongin City edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gimhae City vs Yongin City — FAQ
Who will win Gimhae City vs Yongin City?
Our statistical model makes Yongin City the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Gimhae City 32%, draw 29%, Yongin City 40%.
Will both teams score in Gimhae City vs Yongin City?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gimhae City vs Yongin City?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Gimhae City and 1.22 for Yongin City — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gimhae City vs Yongin City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Gimhae City or draw is 58%.