Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez
Model pick: Tristán Suárez (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 1.06
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Tristán Suárez |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.33 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
*Gimnasia Jujuy shown at home, Tristán Suárez shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gimnasia Jujuy — last 5
DWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Tristán Suárez — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gimnasia Jujuy (home) | Tristán Suárez (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 38% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.11
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (27%) |
| Double chance — Gimnasia Jujuy or draw (1X) | 46% |
| Double chance — Tristán Suárez or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Gimnasia Jujuy clean sheet | 35% |
| Tristán Suárez clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tristán Suárez is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Tristán Suárez edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez — FAQ
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez?
Our statistical model makes Tristán Suárez the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 13%, draw 35%, Tristán Suárez 52%.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.06 for Tristán Suárez — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristán Suárez?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (27%). Double chance for Gimnasia Jujuy or draw is 46%.