Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City
Model pick: Gimpo Citizen (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.97 – 0.58
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gimpo Citizen | Yongin City |
|---|
| League position | #7 (25 pts) | #14 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Gimpo Citizen shown at home, Yongin City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gimpo Citizen — last 5
DLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Yongin City — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gimpo Citizen (home) | Yongin City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-1 in 3 (1.0 / 1.7 goals per game) | 2-3-2 in 7 (1.1 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 40% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.97 vs 0.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Gimpo Citizen or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Yongin City or draw (X2) | 30% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Gimpo Citizen clean sheet | 56% |
| Yongin City clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gimpo Citizen is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Gimpo Citizen are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City — FAQ
Who will win Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City?
Our statistical model makes Gimpo Citizen the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Gimpo Citizen 66%, draw 22%, Yongin City 12%.
Will both teams score in Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City?
Expected goals are 1.97 for Gimpo Citizen and 0.58 for Yongin City — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gimpo Citizen vs Yongin City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Gimpo Citizen or draw is 90%.