GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
Model pick: GKS Katowice (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.17
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| GKS Katowice | Radomiak Radom |
|---|
| League position | #7 (0 pts) | #1 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*GKS Katowice shown at home, Radomiak Radom shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
GKS Katowice — last 5
LWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Radomiak Radom — last 5
LWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | GKS Katowice (home) | Radomiak Radom (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 53% |
| Top scorer | Bartosz Nowak (8) | Abdoul Tapsoba (6) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.85 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — GKS Katowice or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Radomiak Radom or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| GKS Katowice clean sheet | 31% |
| Radomiak Radom clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
GKS Katowice is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. GKS Katowice are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom — FAQ
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?
Our statistical model makes GKS Katowice the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: GKS Katowice 50%, draw 26%, Radomiak Radom 24%.
Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?
Expected goals are 1.85 for GKS Katowice and 1.17 for Radomiak Radom — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for GKS Katowice or draw is 76%.