GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock
Model pick: GKS Katowice (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 0.91
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| GKS Katowice | Wisła Płock |
|---|
| League position | #14 (3 pts) | #11 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
*GKS Katowice shown at home, Wisła Płock shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
GKS Katowice — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Wisła Płock — last 5
WWWDL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | GKS Katowice (home) | Wisła Płock (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Bartosz Nowak (8) | Lukasz Sekulski (8) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — GKS Katowice or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Wisła Płock or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| GKS Katowice clean sheet | 40% |
| Wisła Płock clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
GKS Katowice is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. GKS Katowice are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock — FAQ
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock?
Our statistical model makes GKS Katowice the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: GKS Katowice 49%, draw 27%, Wisła Płock 24%.
Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock?
Expected goals are 1.55 for GKS Katowice and 0.91 for Wisła Płock — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in GKS Katowice vs Wisła Płock?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for GKS Katowice or draw is 78%.