Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf
Model pick: Draw (84%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.02 – 0.11
Total goals: 0.1
Over 2.5: 1%
Both teams score: 6%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gleisdorf | Kalsdorf |
|---|
| League position | #12 (30 pts) | #5 (49 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.4 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.2 | 2.8 / 2.2 |
*Gleisdorf shown at home, Kalsdorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gleisdorf — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Kalsdorf — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gleisdorf (home) | Kalsdorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-5-6 in 15 (1.5 / 2.4 goals per game) | 5-3-7 in 15 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.02 vs 0.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (88%) |
| Double chance — Gleisdorf or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Kalsdorf or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 12% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Gleisdorf clean sheet | 90% |
| Kalsdorf clean sheet | 98% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (99% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf — FAQ
Who will win Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Gleisdorf 3%, draw 84%, Kalsdorf 13%.
Will both teams score in Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf?
The model gives a 6% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf?
Expected goals are 0.02 for Gleisdorf and 0.11 for Kalsdorf — about 0.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gleisdorf vs Kalsdorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (88%). Double chance for Gleisdorf or draw is 90%.