Gloggnitz vs Parndorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Gloggnitz vs Parndorf
Model pick: Gloggnitz (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.08 – 2.09
Total goals: 6.2
Over 2.5: 83%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gloggnitz | Parndorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 0.8 |
*Gloggnitz shown at home, Parndorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gloggnitz — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Parndorf — last 5
WWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gloggnitz (home) | Parndorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.08 vs 2.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-2 (5%) |
| Double chance — Gloggnitz or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Parndorf or draw (X2) | 28% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Gloggnitz clean sheet | 12% |
| Parndorf clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gloggnitz is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Gloggnitz are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.2, this shapes as an open game (83% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gloggnitz vs Parndorf — FAQ
Who will win Gloggnitz vs Parndorf?
Our statistical model makes Gloggnitz the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Gloggnitz 67%, draw 15%, Parndorf 18%.
Will both teams score in Gloggnitz vs Parndorf?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gloggnitz vs Parndorf?
Expected goals are 4.08 for Gloggnitz and 2.09 for Parndorf — about 6.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gloggnitz vs Parndorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-2 (5%). Double chance for Gloggnitz or draw is 84%.