Gloucester City vs Evesham Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Gloucester City vs Evesham
Model pick: Evesham (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 2.62
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gloucester City | Evesham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Gloucester City shown at home, Evesham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gloucester City — last 5
WLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Evesham — last 5
DWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gloucester City (home) | Evesham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 2.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Gloucester City or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Evesham or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Gloucester City clean sheet | 7% |
| Evesham clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Evesham is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Evesham edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Gloucester City vs Evesham — FAQ
Who will win Gloucester City vs Evesham?
Our statistical model makes Evesham the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Gloucester City 24%, draw 20%, Evesham 56%.
Will both teams score in Gloucester City vs Evesham?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gloucester City vs Evesham?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Gloucester City and 2.62 for Evesham — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gloucester City vs Evesham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Gloucester City or draw is 40%.