Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork
Model pick: Draw (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.43 – 0.69
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Goczalkowice Zdroj | Kluczbork |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Goczalkowice Zdroj shown at home, Kluczbork shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Goczalkowice Zdroj — last 5
LLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Kluczbork — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 45% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Goczalkowice Zdroj (home) | Kluczbork (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 45% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.43 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Goczalkowice Zdroj or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Kluczbork or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 57% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Goczalkowice Zdroj clean sheet | 50% |
| Kluczbork clean sheet | 65% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork — FAQ
Who will win Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Goczalkowice Zdroj 22%, draw 42%, Kluczbork 36%.
Will both teams score in Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork?
Expected goals are 0.43 for Goczalkowice Zdroj and 0.69 for Kluczbork — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Kluczbork?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (33%). Double chance for Goczalkowice Zdroj or draw is 63%.