Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa
Model pick: Nysa (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.33 – 1.67
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Goczalkowice Zdroj | Nysa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Goczalkowice Zdroj shown at home, Nysa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Goczalkowice Zdroj — last 5
DLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Nysa — last 5
LWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Goczalkowice Zdroj (home) | Nysa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 43% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.33 vs 1.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (23%) |
| Double chance — Goczalkowice Zdroj or draw (1X) | 29% |
| Double chance — Nysa or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Goczalkowice Zdroj clean sheet | 19% |
| Nysa clean sheet | 72% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nysa is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Nysa edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa — FAQ
Who will win Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa?
Our statistical model makes Nysa the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Goczalkowice Zdroj 9%, draw 25%, Nysa 66%.
Will both teams score in Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa?
Expected goals are 0.33 for Goczalkowice Zdroj and 1.67 for Nysa — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Nysa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (23%). Double chance for Goczalkowice Zdroj or draw is 29%.